Rational Choice and Judgment
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Rational Choice and Judgment
Decision Analysis for the Decider
Brown, Rex
John Wiley & Sons Inc
05/2005
280
Dura
Inglês
9780471202370
15 a 20 dias
570
Descrição não disponível.
Preface. Who Might Use This Book.
Background.
Substance of this Book.
Pedagogy.
Demands on Students and Instructor.
Other Approaches, Other Materials.
Author Background.
Acknowledgments.
Prolog: A Baby Delivery Dilemma.
1. Basics and Overview.
2. Uses of Decision Analysis.
Appendix 2A: Decision Analysis Reflects on His Work.
3. Evaluating a Choice Qualitatively.
4. Quantitative Aid to Rational Choice.
Appendix 4A: Business Decision Tree Example.
Appendix 4B: Private Example: Study or Play?
5. Describing Outcomes.
6. Taking Preference Into Account.
7. Choice Under Uncertainty.
Appendix 7A. Technical Notes.
8. Decision Aiding Strategy.
Appendix 8A. Influence Sketches.
9. Aiding the Professional Decider.
Appendix 9A. Environmental Regulation Case Study.
10. Assessing and Inferring Probabilities.
11. Eliciting Preferences.
12. Applied Term Project.
Appendix 12A. Student Project Report.
Epilog.
References.
Glossary of Concepts and Terms.
Index.
Background.
Substance of this Book.
Pedagogy.
Demands on Students and Instructor.
Other Approaches, Other Materials.
Author Background.
Acknowledgments.
Prolog: A Baby Delivery Dilemma.
1. Basics and Overview.
2. Uses of Decision Analysis.
Appendix 2A: Decision Analysis Reflects on His Work.
3. Evaluating a Choice Qualitatively.
4. Quantitative Aid to Rational Choice.
Appendix 4A: Business Decision Tree Example.
Appendix 4B: Private Example: Study or Play?
5. Describing Outcomes.
6. Taking Preference Into Account.
7. Choice Under Uncertainty.
Appendix 7A. Technical Notes.
8. Decision Aiding Strategy.
Appendix 8A. Influence Sketches.
9. Aiding the Professional Decider.
Appendix 9A. Environmental Regulation Case Study.
10. Assessing and Inferring Probabilities.
11. Eliciting Preferences.
12. Applied Term Project.
Appendix 12A. Student Project Report.
Epilog.
References.
Glossary of Concepts and Terms.
Index.
Este título pertence ao(s) assunto(s) indicados(s). Para ver outros títulos clique no assunto desejado.
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Preface. Who Might Use This Book.
Background.
Substance of this Book.
Pedagogy.
Demands on Students and Instructor.
Other Approaches, Other Materials.
Author Background.
Acknowledgments.
Prolog: A Baby Delivery Dilemma.
1. Basics and Overview.
2. Uses of Decision Analysis.
Appendix 2A: Decision Analysis Reflects on His Work.
3. Evaluating a Choice Qualitatively.
4. Quantitative Aid to Rational Choice.
Appendix 4A: Business Decision Tree Example.
Appendix 4B: Private Example: Study or Play?
5. Describing Outcomes.
6. Taking Preference Into Account.
7. Choice Under Uncertainty.
Appendix 7A. Technical Notes.
8. Decision Aiding Strategy.
Appendix 8A. Influence Sketches.
9. Aiding the Professional Decider.
Appendix 9A. Environmental Regulation Case Study.
10. Assessing and Inferring Probabilities.
11. Eliciting Preferences.
12. Applied Term Project.
Appendix 12A. Student Project Report.
Epilog.
References.
Glossary of Concepts and Terms.
Index.
Background.
Substance of this Book.
Pedagogy.
Demands on Students and Instructor.
Other Approaches, Other Materials.
Author Background.
Acknowledgments.
Prolog: A Baby Delivery Dilemma.
1. Basics and Overview.
2. Uses of Decision Analysis.
Appendix 2A: Decision Analysis Reflects on His Work.
3. Evaluating a Choice Qualitatively.
4. Quantitative Aid to Rational Choice.
Appendix 4A: Business Decision Tree Example.
Appendix 4B: Private Example: Study or Play?
5. Describing Outcomes.
6. Taking Preference Into Account.
7. Choice Under Uncertainty.
Appendix 7A. Technical Notes.
8. Decision Aiding Strategy.
Appendix 8A. Influence Sketches.
9. Aiding the Professional Decider.
Appendix 9A. Environmental Regulation Case Study.
10. Assessing and Inferring Probabilities.
11. Eliciting Preferences.
12. Applied Term Project.
Appendix 12A. Student Project Report.
Epilog.
References.
Glossary of Concepts and Terms.
Index.
Este título pertence ao(s) assunto(s) indicados(s). Para ver outros títulos clique no assunto desejado.
